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Terry Eliasen
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A major nor’easter to start the workweek, worst conditions south of Boston

MONDAY:  A significant winter storm for southern New England…blizzard conditions in SE MA…6-12″ From Boston and areas southeast, 3-6″ north and west, including Westford…see complete discussion below…

TUESDAY:  Another, weaker storm passes by and brings additional light snow, no significant accumulation.  Cold, 35-30.

WEDNESDAY:  Light snow or flurries (again), coating to a few inches possible, low to mid 30s.

 

Monday Morning Blizzard Kicks Off Snowiest Week So Far This Winter

BOSTON (CBS) — Does this feel at all familiar?

February has always been a tough winter month, but this is getting a bit ridiculous! I don’t have to remind anyone of what happened last February. Snowfall records were smashed with more than 5 feet of snow. The cold was relentless, the second coldest month ever recorded. Clearly, we are not going to come anywhere near those records this year or anytime soon, but after a slow and mild start to winter, we are making up for lost time quickly this February.

Boston has had nearly 7″ so far this month, while Worcester is already over a foot–and we are just getting started. This coming week will be the coldest and snowiest week so far this winter.

Parking Bans and Snow Emergencies for Monday’s Storm

First the snow. While the majority of the snow will fall on Monday, some snow will likely be in the air Tuesday and Wednesday as well. Then comes the cold. The most brutal air since last winter will drop out of Canada later this week. Next Weekend looks absolutely frigid. High temperatures in many areas could be stuck in the single digits by day, dropping below zero at night.

2016 Storm Headlines

So thats the big picture, for the remainder of this blog we will focus on the most significant even of the week, a Monday Blizzard/Nor’easter.

Timeline:

Snow will break out first along the South Coast, shortly after midnight. It will move north quickly overnight and encompass most of Eastern Massachusetts by 7 a.m. on Monday. Many kids will enjoy a four day Weekend, having been off Friday for our last storm and again on Monday. The snow will come down hardest during the daylight hours on Monday. Blizzard conditions are likely in coastal Plymouth county and over the Cape and Islands. Blizzard conditions refer to the wind and visibility. Frequent gusts of 30-50 mph, along with falling and/or blowing snow, will cause near-zero visibility in those blizzard-warned areas. Travel is NOT recommended in the blizzard warning area on Monday.

2015 Wind Forecast

There may also be some ocean enhancement to the snow, due to very cold air flowing over the relatively mild ocean. This will be seen in some thin bands over southeast Massachusetts on Monday. Within these bands, snowfall rates could reach 1-3″ per hour!

By Monday evening, the snow rates will taper and the majority of the snow accumulation will be done.

So how much are we talking?

The “jackpot” area looks to be in southeast Mass., Plymouth county, and Cape Cod. We are forecasting a conservative 6-12″ there, however there may be some locally higher amounts (within the ocean enhanced snow bands) up to 18″!

For the remainder of inland southeast Massachusetts, Boston, the North Shore, and areas inside of 495, we are forecasting 6-12″ as well.

Farther north and west, beyond 495 into Worcester county and southern New Hampshire, snow amounts will be lower–3-6″ and tapering quickly to 1-3″ into Central and Northern New England.

2015 Winter Warnings New England

Coastal Concerns:

This will be the first real test of our Coastline this winter. Tides will be astronomically very high on Monday. The late morning high tide is the primary concern, between 10am and 1pm. Moderate Coastal flooding is likely, especially along the South Shore and Cape Cod.

Significant beach erosion will occur in these areas as well.

2015 Winter Warnings1 New England

Wind Damage/Power Outages:

With trees already being stressed from our last heavy snowfall, the additional snow and wind from this storm will create a significant concern for wind damage and numerous power outages.

This storm should not be underestimated. I would urge that you stay tuned to updated forecasts and rethink travel plans on Monday especially if you are headed towards the Coastline. Stay with WBZ-TV, WBZ NewsRadio 1030, and CBSBoston.com throughout the storm–we will have you covered.

Terry

Follow Terry on Twitter @TerryWBZ

 

 

Click here for Westford snow storm data and past totals or select “Winter Snowfall“ under “Pages” on the left hand side.

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